Friday, 18 January 2013

A Results Driven Business


Newcastle's 2-0 defeat away to Brighton in the FA cup two weeks ago was their eleventh loss in 14 games. The poor run of form started with the 1-0 home defeat to West Ham back in November of last year and, since then, Newcastle have won just twice, at home to both QPR and Wigan in December.

This made me wonder: how poor does a team's form has to be before the manager is fired?


Below I've shown the form for all Premier League managers fired in the last three seasons over their final 14 games prior to be being fired (sorted by games lost), plus that of Alan Pardew. No one has been allowed to lose 11 out of their final 14 matches. Whilst expectations amongst Newcastle's fans are unlikely to be up there with those of Chelsea or Tottenham, fans of so-called "lesser clubs" like QPR and Wolves have had to endure shorter runs of poor form before they lost their managers than that served up by Alan Pardew's team.


Of course, this isn't to say that there aren't Premier League managers still in employment who have overseen even worse runs of form than 11 losses in 14 games - this would take quite a bit more work to investigate - but it does provide an indication of quite how serious Newcastle's poor run of results has been.


Form (last 14 games, all competitions) of all Premier League
managers fired in the last three seasons, plus Alan Pardew

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